26 July 2012

THE STATED CONCERN: An interim report, issued on 19 July 2012, by the “Central Disaster Management Council (CDMC)” outlined steps to prepare for a major offshore quake in the “Nankai Trough”(a geologic fault), which runs southwest from Shizuoka Prefecture to Kyushu, or even a direct hit on Tokyo. The Central government was advised to seek funding for the most urgently needed measures in next fiscal year’s budget.

THE PROPOSAL: The CDMC proposal is the first such to establish a command center outside the greater Tokyo area in the event it should become incapacitated by a mega-quake /tsunami.  Main governmental functions contemplated for transfer are: (1) The Prime Minister’s Office, (2) the Cabinet Office; followed by (3) the Ministry of Defense, and (4) the Disaster Base in Tachikawa – near central Tokyo.

THE FIVE CITIES NOMINATED BY THE CDMC to serve as “alternate seat of government” are:  Osaka, Sapporo, Sendai, Nagoya and Fukuoka (not necessarily in that order), should an earthquake incapacitate Tokyo.  All five cities have branches of the national government, and the Bank of Japan. The report further recommends that the government provide an order of succession.

TOKYO RESIDENTS ALSO CONSIDERED: The CDM Council also expressed concern for sheltering the capital’s inhabitants.  According to the report, making houses and other buildings more resistant to shaking and fire, would reduce the need for emergency shelters. The report also calls for a faster way of assessing whether damaged homes are safe enough to return to.

(Thanks to The Nikkei, July 20, 2012)


WHAT IS THE REAL INTENT OF THIS PROPOSAL? We have mixed feelings about the real intent of the proposal.  On the one hand it is good to see Japan beginning to “prepare for the worst” (they seldom do); On the other hand, it is very probable that some in government are really worried about the ever growing radioactive “plume” that threatens Tokyo already, and not just earthquakes and tsunamis; After all, these have been a threat to Japan since time immemorial.   Let us see if the earthquake/tsunami threat rationale holds.

Sendai sticks out like a sore thumb; After all, the epicenter of the great earthquake and Tsunami of 11 mar 2011, took place just off the coast from the Sendai province.  Nearby Fukushima Dai No.1, NPP suffered  greatly from the natural events, but even more from the man-made events, and non-events that followed;  And now, that is the source of what should be Japan’s greatest preocupation: The insidious, creeping spread of highly toxic and residual radioactive (transuranic) elements from the Sendai region.  So, why was Sendai considered for “Seat of Government status”? – BEATS ME!  PERHAPS JUST A RUSE Given the fact more than 16 months after the triple-meltdown the radioactive plume is well East-NE from Fukushima (and growing in all directions), logic dictates the selection of cities as distant from the Fukushima radioactive plume as possible.

FUKUOKA, SAPPORO, AND NAGOYA FIT THE STATED REQUIREMENTS.  All are located at least 250 miles (as the crow flies) from Fukushima, and at least for now, not in the known radioactive plume path.  Fukuoka is located in Japan’s South-most island (Kyushu), while Sapporo, is located in Japan’s North-most (very cold) island of Hokkaido. Politicians would not really like it there. Nagoya is located in the central region of Japan’s main island, and about 250 miles from Tokyo. It may become Japan’s new capital soon.  It is located centrally, highly industrialized, and further from quakes/ tsunamis, and the present radioactive plume, than any other major city in Japan.

TOKYO MASSES THE LAST CONCERN Expressed almost as an afterthought, was the welfare of Tokyo’s inhabitants against the expressed perils.  As I read their expressed concern it says:  You all make your houses strong, now-hear!  We can’t provide shelters for everybody. The last sentence of that same paragraph is ominous in its implications: “a faster way of assessing whether damaged homes are safe enough to return to” could mean: when the radiation level is tolerable.  NOT GOOD HUH! , and already present in many abandoned towns/cities.

I COULD BE READING TOO MUCH INTO JAPANESE GOVERNMENT NEWS; However, given their traditional lack of information, disinformation and lies, it may be necessary to read “between the lines” in an effort to anticipate Japan’s next political move.  We bloggers can afford that luxury. Mainstream media is hard put to do so; specially in japan.

UPCOMING JAPANESE DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS COULD BE DRIVING LIES AND DECEPTIONS.  Fortunately, the Japanese public is now keenly aware of which politicians would best represent their interest in the coming elections.  I sense a big change coming in the Japanese central and gubernatorial elections.  It is clear to me from this news release, that they are already making plans to take their families, and staff to safer places in Japan, and to place their personal well-being above their constituents.  I am all for democracy, but acknowledge it has many weaknesses.

Edward Oliver Gonzalez (gonzedo)

July 26, 2012 at 5:11 PM Comments (0)